Maths of the Day – October

Five Game Form

It’s fair to say, to date, the Pep Clotet era is characterised by highs and lows. Following three defeats last month, we then nailed three wins, followed by two draws, only the defeat to Fleetwood spoiled what would have been a very pleasing sequence for those who like symmetry. The impact is that we recovered during the month to a much more normal short term form.

46 Game Tracker

Given our propensity for short-term highs and lows, it’s more important to look at the bigger picture. So although the ride has been a bit of a rollercoaster, we ended the month in 2 points ahead of where we were at the end of September, suggesting some progress.

Run Rate

This is reinforced when you look at the run rate. October was always an opportunity to pull ahead of last year’s total given we had pretty average form. The draws against Rotherham and Charlton meant we didn’t pull as far ahead as we might have done, but we still sit 4 points better off than last year.

Like for Like

A new one – a tracker of our points total against the same teams last year. As such, it discounts the games against Portsmouth, Blackpool and Rotherham, giving us a more precise indication of our progress relative to others. As the graph shows, we are 2 points better off than we were against the teams we’ve played this season. So, although the margins are fairly narrow, we’re still ahead of last year, and that’s difficult to argue against.

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Oxblogger is a blog about Oxford United.

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